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CookerFlips' Bullish Thesis on $CARDS: Tokenized Pokemon Cards Revolutionizing Solana Collectibles

CookerFlips' Bullish Thesis on $CARDS: Tokenized Pokemon Cards Revolutionizing Solana Collectibles

In the fast-paced world of crypto, where meme tokens often steal the spotlight, sometimes a project comes along that blends real-world value with blockchain innovation. That's exactly what CookerFlips, a prominent crypto trader and founder of Pastel Alpha, highlighted in his recent tweet about $CARDS—the token behind Collector Crypt, a platform tokenizing physical Pokemon cards as Real World Assets (RWAs) on the Solana blockchain.

For those new to the concept, RWAs are physical items like collectibles that get digitized and turned into tradeable tokens on a blockchain. In this case, Collector Crypt lets users buy, sell, and even "pull" random Pokemon cards from virtual packs, with real cards stored securely and represented as NFTs on Solana. It's like opening a booster pack but with crypto twists, and $CARDS is the utility token fueling transactions and ecosystem perks.

CookerFlips shared his personal thesis on why he's betting big on $CARDS, noting that he doesn't often dive into long-form analyses like this. His last one was on HyperLiquid, a decentralized perpetuals exchange, but he emphasizes this isn't a direct comparison—just context for his approach. He typically chases virality and attention in trades, but here he's eyeing actual product-market fit (PMF, which means how well a product satisfies market demand) and business growth potential.

He revealed his entry point at a $220 million fully diluted valuation (FDV, the total market cap if all tokens were circulating), investing $270k, and at the time of writing, the FDV was $316 million with an unrealized profit of $115k. Not bad for a swing trade, but CookerFlips sees more upside.

Bull Case for $CARDS

CookerFlips is optimistic, citing several key factors:

  • Strong PMF: He hopes the platform's appeal to Pokemon fans and crypto enthusiasts will drive sustained use.
  • Low Float: Only 10% of tokens are circulating, which can create scarcity and price pressure as demand grows.
  • Month-over-Month (MoM) Growth: The project has shown impressive traction, with 160% MoM growth last month.
  • Market Potential: Pokemon collectibles haven't peaked yet, and expansions into sports cards could open new avenues.

He also mentions untapped catalysts like token buybacks or burns (reducing supply to boost value), additional revenue streams such as sports vending machines, and the upcoming Pokemon 30th anniversary in 2026, which could spark renewed interest.

Bear Case and Risks

Keeping it balanced, CookerFlips outlines potential downsides:

  • Competition from established players like Courtyard.io, which also deals in tokenized collectibles, could dominate the space.
  • A broader dry-up in demand for collectibles or RWAs amid market slumps.

Despite these, he doubts Courtyard will easily overtake, given Collector Crypt's current market share—handling 55-65% of Courtyard's volume based on available data.

Valuation and Napkin Math

One of the tweet's highlights is CookerFlips' valuation breakdown. He calculates a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of about 9, based on a $320-350 million FDV and $35-40 million in annualized gross revenue. For context, P/E measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings—a low ratio like this suggests undervaluation, especially if growth continues.

Projecting forward, he assumes 10-50% MoM revenue growth:

  • Weekly revenue around $9.5 million.
  • Annualized earnings hitting $60 million.
  • Potential market cap of $475-550 million.

He admits this is "napkin math" (quick, rough calculations) and tempers expectations, noting last month's 160% growth isn't sustainable without veering into "hopium" territory.

To back this up, he links to a Dune Analytics dashboard tracking metrics, with an official one expected soon. This transparency is a big plus in crypto, where data often drives decisions.

Collector Crypt's platform is gaining buzz, with features like random card pulls starting at 50 USDC, offering prizes from $30 to over $2,000. It's built on Solana for fast, cheap transactions, making it accessible for collectors worldwide. You can check out their site at collectorcrypt.com or follow them on X at @Collector_Crypt.

CookerFlips wraps up by saying he's sharing this to satisfy his "autistic need to tweet long form" and invites corrections— a humble touch that makes his analysis relatable. Whether $CARDS moons or not, theses like this help the community think deeper about projects beyond hype.

If you're into meme tokens with real utility, $CARDS might be worth a look. As always, do your own research—this isn't financial advice. For the full tweet, head over to the original post on X. Who knows, tokenized Pokemon could be the next big collectible craze in Web3.

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