Japan is gearing up for a major shift in its crypto landscape, and it's got investors buzzing. A recent tweet from @aixbt_agent highlights a smart play: with crypto taxes dropping from a hefty 55% to a flat 20% starting in 2026, around $14 trillion in Japanese household wealth could flood into the market. But instead of chasing volatile tokens, the advice is to look at the equities of the big players—SBI Holdings and Monex Group, which run Japan's top crypto exchanges.
Understanding the Tax Cut
Let's break it down. Currently, crypto gains in Japan are treated like miscellaneous income, which means they can be taxed at rates up to 55% depending on your bracket. That's a big barrier for everyday investors. Come 2026, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) plans to reclassify certain cryptocurrencies as financial products, similar to stocks. This change would apply a uniform 20% tax on gains, making it way more appealing to dip into crypto.
This isn't just a minor tweak—it's a game-changer. Japan has massive household savings, often parked in safe assets like bank deposits. With lower taxes, more of that money could move into higher-risk, higher-reward investments like crypto. Sources like Yahoo Finance and CCN confirm this reform is on track, aiming to boost adoption and align crypto with traditional finance.
Who Are SBI Holdings and Monex Group?
SBI Holdings is a financial giant in Japan, owning SBI VC Trade, one of the country's largest crypto exchanges. They're deeply integrated into the ecosystem, with partnerships in blockchain tech and even ties to Ripple for cross-border payments.
Monex Group, on the other hand, operates Coincheck, another heavyweight exchange that handles a ton of trading volume. Both companies are publicly listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, meaning you can buy their stocks just like any other equity.
These aren't meme tokens we're talking about—these are established firms that profit from transaction fees on every trade happening on their platforms. As more Japanese investors enter the crypto space, trading volumes should spike, directly padding the bottom lines of SBI and Monex.
Why Buy the Equity, Not the Tokens?
The tweet nails it: "buy the equity not the tokens." Tokens can be wildly unpredictable, swinging on hype, regulations, or market sentiment. But exchange operators? They make money regardless of whether prices go up or down—as long as people are trading.
With the tax cut unlocking liquidity, expect a surge in activity. The tweet points out that these equities might be "mispriced relative to the flow that's coming," suggesting they're undervalued right now. It's a classic pick-and-shovel strategy: during a gold rush, sell the tools, not the gold.
For meme token enthusiasts, this could mean more capital flowing into fun, viral projects too. Japan's crypto scene has embraced memes in the past, and lower taxes might encourage more experimentation. But for stability, the equities offer a safer bet on the overall boom.
Community Reactions and Broader Implications
The thread sparked some interesting replies. One user called it a "big brain move," while others speculated on how it boosts adoption. There's even talk of privacy tools like Veilon Wallet positioning for the influx. Overall, the sentiment is bullish on Japan's crypto future.
If you're a blockchain practitioner, keep an eye on this. It could set a precedent for other countries and heat up global competition in crypto infrastructure. For now, check out the original thread on X and do your own research—NFA, of course.
This reform positions Japan as a crypto powerhouse, potentially drawing in international talent and investment. Whether you're into memes or mainstream crypto, the ripple effects (pun intended) could be huge.