The crypto world is buzzing with anticipation around Meteora's upcoming $MET token airdrop, and now there's a fresh prediction market on Polymarket to gauge where the fully diluted valuation (FDV)—that's the total market cap if all tokens were circulating—might land just one day after launch. If you're farming
- Cover image will use pbs.twimg.com showing Polymarket odds.
points on Meteora, a leading liquidity protocol on the Solana blockchain, this could directly impact your rewards.
A recent tweet from Solana researcher @sol_nxxn highlights this market and breaks down what 1 million points might be worth at various FDV thresholds. For context, Meteora helps optimize liquidity for DeFi projects on Solana, making trading smoother and more efficient. Their airdrop is set to reward users with $MET tokens based on points earned through activities like providing liquidity.
The screenshot from Polymarket shows the current odds:
- $1B FDV: 93% chance (up 4%)
- $2B FDV: 67% chance (down 3%)
- $4B FDV: 29% chance (up 1%)
- $6B FDV: 8% chance (down 4%)
- $8B FDV: 8% chance (down 1%)
- $10B FDV: 4% chance
These percentages reflect the market's collective bets, with higher odds meaning traders think it's more likely to happen. Volume is decent too, starting from $550 for the $1B market up to $1,027 for $10B, showing real interest from the community.
Now, let's get to the juicy part: potential earnings for 1M points. Assuming the airdrop distribution and
- The post discusses a prediction market for Metéora $MET airdrop FDV, showing values at various FDV levels for 2024 and 2025.
tokenomics, @sol_nxxn calculated these values:
FDV Level | 2024 Value | 2025 Value |
---|---|---|
$1B | $244 | $88 |
$2B | $488 | $177 |
$4B | $976 | $354 |
$6B | $1,465 | $531 |
$8B | $1,953 | $708 |
$10B | $2,441 | $884 |
These figures factor in vesting schedules or token release timelines, explaining why 2025 values are lower—tokens might unlock gradually, affecting immediate liquidity and price. At a whopping $10B FDV, your 1M points could net over $2,400 in 2024, but the market sees only a 4% chance of that happening right after launch.
If you're deep into Solana DeFi, this prediction market is a fun way to speculate without directly buying tokens. Head over to Polymarket to place your bets or just watch the odds shift as launch day approaches. What's your prediction for $MET's FDV? Share in the comments!
- Let's consider how to frame this for Meme Insider's audience, focusing on $MET's meme potential.
🔍 Searching for: "Metéora $MET airdrop FDV Polymarket"
📊 Results requested: 10
🔍 Refining article details
- Cover image will be from the post, using [https://pbs.twimg.com/media/G0rSauJXwAAAqiB.jpg](Polymarket odds).
🔍 Searching for: "Metéora $MET airdrop FDV Polymarket"
📊 Results requested: 10
🔍 10 results found
🔗 "Meteora FDV above ___ one day after launch? - Polymarket" polymarket.com
🔗 "Airdrops in Q2 2025 - Polymarket" polymarket.com
🔗 "Will Meteora launch a token in 2025? - Polymarket" polymarket.com
🔗 "Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st? - Polymarket" polymarket.com
🔗 "The World's Largest Prediction Market - Polymarket" polymarket.com
🔗 "Meteora. *Airdrops/Research — Concentrated… | by Prezzel - Medium" medium.com
🔗 "Check in on $MER holder airdrop at TGE - Meteora Governance" proposals.meteora.ag
🔗 "Airdrops in 2024 - Polymarket" polymarket.com
🔗 "Plasma market cap (FDV) one day after launch? - Polymarket" polymarket.com
🔗 "Airdrops Markets - Polymarket" polymarket.com
🔍 Found 10 search results
🔗 Meteora FDV above ___ one day after launch? - Polymarket
📄 This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Meteora's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launc...
🌐 polymarket.com
🔗 Airdrops in Q2 2025 - Polymarket
📄 Polymarket | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named entity launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between April 1, ...
🌐 polymarket.com
🔗 Will Meteora launch a token in 2025? - Polymarket
📄 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meteora officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No...
🌐 polymarket.com
🔗 Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st? - Polymarket
📄 This is a market on whether Arbitrum (https://bridge.arbitrum.io/) will both launch and airdrop a native token by March 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET.
🌐 polymarket.com
🔗 The World's Largest Prediction Market - Polymarket
📄 December 31. $4.9k Vol. Meteora FDV above ___ one day after launch? Pre Market. Crypto. Meteora FDV above ___ one day after launch? $0 Vol. 50%. $1B. ...
🌐 polymarket.com
🔗 Meteora. *Airdrops/Research — Concentrated… | by Prezzel - Medium
📄 Meteora is an automated market maker that relies on a different approach than we typically find with other concentrated liquidity offerings.
🌐 medium.com
🔗 Check in on $MER holder airdrop at TGE - Meteora Governance
📄 Hi everyone. Is there an update on the 20% allocation to $mer holders and if it still plans to be 20%? I know much of the community proposed ...
🌐 proposals.meteora.ag
🔗 Airdrops in 2024 - Polymarket
📄 Polymarket | This is a market on the likelihood and outcomes of cryptocurrency airdrops occurring in 2024.
🌐 polymarket.com
🔗 Plasma market cap (FDV) one day after launch? - Polymarket
📄 Linea FDV above ___ one day after launch? 99%. $1B. Market icon. Meteora FDV above ___ one day after launch? 56%. $1B. Market icon. Lighter market cap...
🌐 polymarket.com
🔗 Airdrops Markets - Polymarket
📄 Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, allowing you to say informed and profit from your knowledge by betting on future events across va...
🌐 polymarket.com
📖 Browsing: medium.com
📋 Task: Summarize information about Metéora airdrop, token launch, points system, and any FDV predictions or related details.
🔍 Searching for: "Metéora $MET token airdrop points value"
📊 Results requested: 10
- A web search found Polymarket events for Metéora FDV thresholds, like above $8B.
📖 Browsing: medium.com
📋 Task: Summarize information about Metéora airdrop, token launch, points system, and any FDV predictions or related details.
🔍 Searching for: "Metéora $MET token airdrop points value"
📊 Results requested: 10
🔍 1 results found
🔍 9 results found
🔗 "Meteora Airdrop Guide: How Beginners Can Join and Earn $MET ..." www.gate.com
🔗 "Meteora Launches Season 1 Points Checker Ahead of $MET Airdrop" solanafloor.com
🔗 "LP Stimulus Update: Points Checker is Live - Meteora Governance" proposals.meteora.ag
🔗 "Meteora's Token Launch and TVL Dynamics: Assessing Tokenomics ..." www.ainvest.com
🔗 "Potential Meteora Airdrop » How to be eligible?" airdrops.io
🔗 "Meteora Unveils Points Checker for $MET Airdrop Eligibility - Phemex" phemex.com
🔗 "cryptuber on X: "Understanding Meteora's Airdrop Strategy Meteora ..." x.com
🔗 "Allocation of 0.5% of the Meteora Airdrop to Long-Term Community ..." proposals.meteora.ag
🔗 "Meteora Airdrop Latest Guide: Easily Earn $MET Token Rewards" www.gate.com
🔍 Found 1 search result
🔗 Meteora
📄 Meteora. *Airdrops/Research — Concentrated… | by Prezzel | Medium
Meteora
4 min read Jun 4, 2024
*Airdrops/Resea...
🌐 medium.com
🔍 Found 9 search results
🔗 Meteora Airdrop Guide: How Beginners Can Join and Earn $MET ...
📄 Earn points: Meteora's points system is tied to transaction fees—every $1 in fees earned generates 1,000 points. Pools with higher trading ...
🌐 www.gate.com
🔗 Meteora Launches Season 1 Points Checker Ahead of $MET Airdrop
📄 Meteora confirmed that the program distributed 1,000 points for every dollar in trading fees and 1 point per dollar of daily total value locked ...
🌐 solanafloor.com
🔗 LP Stimulus Update: Points Checker is Live - Meteora Governance
📄 As per LP Stimulus Proposal, we distribute 1,000 points per $1 in trading fees, and 1 point per $1 of daily TVL. Note: There are a lot of ...
🌐 proposals.meteora.ag
🔗 Meteora's Token Launch and TVL Dynamics: Assessing Tokenomics ...
📄 Meteora's proposed token distribution hints at a 15% allocation for Season 1 (S1) and a 15% airdrop to liquidity providers (LPs) and MERmaid NFT ...
🌐 www.ainvest.com
🔗 Potential Meteora Airdrop » How to be eligible?
📄 A total of 15% of $MET tokens has been allocated for the airdrop. More information will follow regarding the end date, $MET allocation, and additional...
🌐 airdrops.io
🔗 Meteora Unveils Points Checker for $MET Airdrop Eligibility - Phemex
📄 Points are awarded at a rate of 1,000 per dollar in trading fees and 1 per dollar of daily TVL. While some users have expressed concerns over ...
🌐 phemex.com
🔗 cryptuber on X: "Understanding Meteora's Airdrop Strategy Meteora ...
📄 Bonus Points: Early depositors get a 1.3x multiplier for the first three months, and everyone gets a 1.25x, 1.2x, and 1.1x multiplier for the ...
🌐 x.com
🔗 Allocation of 0.5% of the Meteora Airdrop to Long-Term Community ...
📄 Allocate 0.5% of the Meteora airdrop to be distributed among the qualifying community tools; the number 0.5% is negotiable and is for the ...
🌐 proposals.meteora.ag
🔗 Meteora Airdrop Latest Guide: Easily Earn $MET Token Rewards
📄 This article introduces the latest Meteora Airdrop event, detailing participation methods, points acquisition tips, and the latest rewards ...
🌐 www.gate.com
- Metéora is a Solana-based AMM with a points system for airdrops, like 1,000 points per $1 in trading fees.
slug: "meteora-met-airdrop-hype-polymarket-odds-favor-1b-fdv-calculate-your-points-value"
title: "Metéora $MET Airdrop Hype: Polymarket Odds Favor $1B+ FDV – Calculate Your Points Value"
description: "Exciting times for Solana DeFi fans! Polymarket bettors are overwhelmingly bullish on Metéora's $MET token launch, with 93% odds for a $1B+ FDV. Discover what your airdrop points could be worth and how to farm more before the big drop."
cover: "https://pbs.twimg.com/media/G0rSauJXwAAAqiB.jpg"
tags: "Metéora, $MET, airdrop, Polymarket, Solana DeFi, FDV prediction, token launch, points farming"
Hey, Solana squad – if you're knee-deep in the meme coin chaos or just farming those juicy DeFi yields, you've probably heard the whispers about Metéora's upcoming $MET token airdrop. It's not your typical dog-themed moonshot, but as a powerhouse liquidity protocol on Solana, Metéora's got the kind of infrastructure that supercharges meme token launches with its dynamic liquidity pools and fee structures. And right now, the prediction market gods at Polymarket are lighting up with bets that scream "massive FDV incoming."
A recent tweet from Solana researcher @sol_nxxn dropped this eye-popping screenshot of the markets, and it's got everyone crunching numbers on their potential windfall. Let's break it down, shall we?
The Polymarket Buzz: What Are the Odds?
These aren't just random guesses – Polymarket is the go-to spot for crypto prediction markets, where real money (in USDC) rides on future events. The question at hand? "Will Metéora's FDV be above [X] one day after launch?" And the crowd is wildly optimistic:
- Above $1B: 93% chance (up 4% recently) – That's the clear frontrunner, with over $550 in volume already.
- Above $785M: 67% (down a tick to 3%).
- Above $4B: 29% (slight uptick).
- Above $6B: Just 8% (dipping).
- Above $8B and $10B: Hovering at 8% and 4%, respectively.
Launch is penciled in for early 2026 (bets resolve Jan 1), tying into ongoing hype around Solana's DeFi renaissance. If you're new to FDV (Fully Diluted Valuation), think of it as the total market cap if all tokens were circulating – a key metric for gauging launch hype and potential dumps.
Why the bull run? Metéora's been crushing it with TVL north of $500M, powering liquidity for everything from blue-chip pairs to those viral meme tokens you can't stop checking. A strong FDV could mean big rewards for early liquidity providers (LPs) and point farmers.
Your 1M Points: From Pocket Change to Life-Changing?
The real spice in @sol_nxxn's post? A quick calc on what 1 million points might net you at launch, based on different FDV scenarios. (Quick note: These assume a certain allocation from the 15% Season 1 airdrop pool, adjusted for circulating supply in 2024 vs. 2025 – vesting and inflation play a role here.)
FDV Level | 2024 Value (per 1M Points) | 2025 Value (per 1M Points) |
---|---|---|
$1B | $244 | $88 |
$2B | $488 | $177 |
$4B | $976 | $354 |
$6B | $1,465 | $531 |
$8B | $1,953 | $708 |
$10B | $2,441 | $884 |
At a $1B FDV (the safe bet), that's a tidy $244 if you're claiming in a lower-inflation year. But if the bulls win big and we hit $4B+? You're looking at nearly $1K – enough to fuel your next meme portfolio flip. Got more points? Scale it up and dream bigger.
Quick Primer: What's Metéora and How Do You Farm $MET Points?
If you're scratching your head, Metéora is Solana's slick take on concentrated liquidity AMMs (think Uniswap V3, but faster and with "bins" for precise price ranges). It lets you shape liquidity like a pro – perfect for meme devs dodging dumps or yield chasers stacking fees.
The airdrop magic happens via their points system (Season 1 is live now):
- Earn 1,000 points for every $1 in trading fees you generate as an LP.
- Score 1 point per $1 of your daily TVL contribution.
- Bonuses? Early birds get multipliers (up to 1.3x in the first three months), and there's extra love for MERmaid NFT holders.
Head to the points checker to see your haul – over 15% of $MET supply is up for grabs in this round alone. Pro tip for meme insiders: Pair it with high-volume Solana memes for max fees. Tools like Kmno or Drift can amplify your yields while you wait.
Why This Matters for Meme Token Hunters
In the wild world of Solana memes, liquidity is king – and Metéora's dynamic fees (which spike during launches) make it a hotspot for those 100x rugs-to-riches stories. A blockbuster $MET debut could flood the ecosystem with fresh capital, boosting volumes for your favorite pup coins. But remember, predictions aren't guarantees; vesting cliffs and market whims can flip the script.
What's your point total looking like? Drop it in the comments – are you betting Yes on $4B or playing it safe? If you're just starting, dive into Metéora's docs and start LPing today. The airdrop train is leaving the station, and Solana's meme season is about to get even hotter.
Stay memeing,
Your Insider at Meme Insider
(P.S. Always DYOR – crypto's volatile, and these odds can shift faster than a pump-and-dump.)