Jon Ma, co-founder and CEO of Artemis, just lit up X with a Solana financial model that's got everyone talking. In his viral post from October 31, 2025, Ma predicts $SOL will trade like oil & gas stocks once Wall Street catches on to blockchain fundamentals.
The big idea? As finance goes onchain, Solana turns into a cash cow. Tokenization markets explode from $600B today to $9T by 2030 (per BCG projections). Solana grabs its slice, raking in real revenue from fees – enough for an $880B+ network valuation.
DM Jon for the full model if you're deep in the game. But let's break it down step-by-step like a pro.
The 4 Key Drivers Fueling Solana's Growth
Ma's model hinges on conservative assumptions anyone bullish on onchain finance can get behind:
- AUM (TVL) Share of Tokenization: 5% of the $9T tokenization pie in 2030 = $450B TVL on Solana.
- Velocity Multiple: 55.6x annual turnover on AUM (just 1/3rd of today's DeFi velocity – super realistic).
- Revenue Take Rate: 40 bps (0.4%) from base fees + priority fees + Jito tips on global transfer volume.
- Inflation Decay: Drops 15% annually, slashing supply pressure.
Result? $16.9B annual revenue by 2030. At a 25x PE multiple (base case), that's $422B market cap today – but wait for the projections...
2030 $SOL Price Targets: Bull, Base, Bear
| Scenario | 2030 PE Multiple | 2030 Market Cap | $SOL Price | Cumulative Return | IRR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bull | 50x | $17.8T | $1884 | 454% | 45.3% |
| Base | 25x | $8.7T | $965 | 159% | 23.2% |
| Bear | 10x | $3.5T | $593 | 34% | 12.5% |
Even the bear case? $593 $SOL. From today's ~$185, that's 3x+ upside. Bull case? 10x moonshot.
Revenue Ramp-Up: From $1M to $17B
- 2022: $1.6M revenue (baby steps).
- 2025: $1.7B (explosion via TradFi volume).
- 2030: $16.9B – COGS just 1.9%, L1 take rate 0.6%.
YoY growth? 41%+ on average. Transfer volume hits $117T yearly – fueled by tokenized assets whizzing around Solana's blazing network.
Why This Matters for Meme Traders & Builders
Solana isn't just memecoins – it's the backbone. Higher $SOL valuation = stronger ecosystem for Pump.fun, Jupiter, and your favorite degen plays.
- Memes pump harder on profitable L1.
- Institutional TVL stabilizes pumps.
- Jito MEV juices priority fees.
Mert from Helius chimes in: "There's no reason for Solana to be below a trillion." Spot on.
Risks? Yeah, But Manageable
- Competition from ETH L2s, Sui.
- Regulatory hurdles for tokenization.
- Network congestion – but Firedancer fixes that.
Ma's thesis? Fundamentals win. Wall Street will DCF blockchains like Exxon or JPM.
Bullish on $SOL? Grab the model, run your sensis, and position up. Solana summer extends to 2030.
What’s your 2030 $SOL target? Drop it below – and follow Meme Insider for more meme token alpha + blockchain deep dives.