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Solana Hits 0.618 Fibonacci Level: Potential Bounce for SOL and Meme Coins?

Solana Hits 0.618 Fibonacci Level: Potential Bounce for SOL and Meme Coins?

If you've been keeping an eye on Solana (SOL), you know it's been a wild ride lately. Crypto analyst Seb Montgomery, known for his straightforward takes on market trends, recently shared an update on X that has the community buzzing. In his post, he points out that SOL has hit the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at around $219, a spot that's historically acted as a strong support zone.

For those new to the lingo, Fibonacci retracement is a popular technical analysis tool based on the Fibonacci sequence. It helps traders identify potential reversal points in a price trend. The 0.618 level, often called the "golden ratio," is where prices frequently bounce back after a pullback. Montgomery references past patterns where SOL rebounded quickly from this level in months like June, July, and August.

Solana 4-hour price chart on Binance showing Fibonacci levels, RSI, and key support points

Looking at the chart he shared, you can see circled areas highlighting these bounces. The upper panel shows the price action with green upward triangles for supports and red downward ones for resistances. Below it, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) oscillator tracks momentum—values below 30 often signal oversold conditions, hinting at a potential upturn.

In his analysis, Montgomery notes the current 4-hour RSI at 21, which is oversold and similar to early August when SOL dropped from $205 to $155 before recovering. The daily RSI is around 48, neutral territory. He also touches on the Fear & Greed Index, now at a fearful 45 compared to neutral 55 back in August. "Leverage resets are normal," he says, reminding us that market flushes can clear out overleveraged positions, setting the stage for healthier growth.

But it's not all charts and numbers—Montgomery highlights shifting sentiment on Solana's blockchain. "There's bullish onchain sentiment," he writes. "ICOs coming, a move from mostly memecoinery to real use cases." This is music to the ears of meme token enthusiasts. Solana has been a hotbed for meme coins, thanks to its fast transactions and low fees. However, as the ecosystem matures, we're seeing more serious projects emerge, which could stabilize and boost the network.

He shouts out DATs (likely referring to data availability solutions or key ecosystem developments) and the buzz around attention economies. Specifically, he mentions @MeteoraAG's upcoming Token Generation Event (TGE) in "MeTOBER"—a playful nod to October. Meteora is a DeFi protocol on Solana focused on liquidity management, and its TGE could draw more capital and users to the chain.

Montgomery also references his setup with limit orders via @KaminoFinance, a Solana-based lending and borrowing platform. He's already buying at these levels, but stresses "NFA" (not financial advice) and that the overall trend remains down until proven otherwise. His indicators are perking up, though no full reversal has printed yet.

This ties back to a video he posted a week earlier, where he predicted this exact bounce point. In it, he breaks down historical fib retracements, showing how SOL has consistently respected the 0.618 level. He advises scaling into positions—smaller buys higher up and larger ones at deeper supports—to manage risk.

For meme token holders and creators on Solana, this dip could be a golden opportunity. Lower SOL prices mean cheaper gas fees for launching or trading memes, but a bounce could ignite a rally across the board. With upcoming ICOs and shifts toward utility-driven projects, Solana might be transitioning from meme mania to sustainable innovation.

Keep in mind, crypto markets are volatile, and past performance isn't a guarantee of future results. If you're considering moves, do your own research and consider tools like Fibonacci and RSI to inform your strategy. What's your take—will SOL bounce from here and lift the meme ecosystem with it?

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