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왜 Mantle ($MNT)가 L2 토큰의 저주를 깨고 있으며 이것이 Base에 의미하는 바

왜 Mantle ($MNT)가 L2 토큰의 저주를 깨고 있으며 이것이 Base에 의미하는 바

In the fast-paced world of crypto, Layer 2 (L2) tokens—those designed to scale Ethereum by handling transactions off the main chain—have often struggled to live up to their hype. But according to a recent thread from DeFi analyst Ignas (@DefiIgnas), one token is bucking the trend: Mantle ($MNT). Despite having far less Total Value Locked (TVL)—that's the amount of assets staked or deposited in a protocol—than competitors like Arbitrum ($ARB), $MNT is trading at twice the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of $ARB. FDV, by the way, is a metric that calculates a token's market cap as if all its supply were already in circulation.

CoinGecko calculator showing Arbitrum price with Mantle's FDV at $0.989764 (2.02x)

The screenshot above, pulled from CoinGecko, illustrates this stark comparison. Arbitrum boasts a TVL of around $3.5 billion, dwarfing Mantle's $260 million. Yet, Mantle's FDV sits at about $9.92 billion, compared to Arbitrum's $4.90 billion. Why the premium? Ignas points to Mantle's unique positioning. It's not just another L2; it's deeply integrated with Bybit, a major crypto exchange, giving it features more akin to Binance's $BNB token. Think CEX (centralized exchange) perks, a massive $4 billion treasury, and even plans for a neobank—a digital bank without physical branches.

What really sets $MNT apart, though, is its scarcity narrative. The project uses profits from its treasury to buy back and burn tokens, permanently removing them from circulation. This reduces supply over time, potentially driving up value— a strategy that's rare among L2 tokens and gives investors a reason to hold long-term.

Lessons from Mantle's Success

This breakout isn't just good news for Mantle holders; it's a potential game-changer for the entire L2 space. Ignas argues that traditional metrics like TVL or technical maturity (Arbitrum is more established, and Mantle isn't even fully listed as a rollup on L2Beat due to some data availability bridge issues) matter less now. The market values real-world utility and clever economics over pure tech specs.

Looking back at an earlier post quoted in the thread, Ignas had analyzed potential valuations for Coinbase's Base chain token ($BASE). He estimated it might launch at $3.9 billion to $7.3 billion FDV based on multiples from $ARB, Optimism ($OP), or Linea ($LINEA). That would place it below heavyweights like Avalanche ($AVAX) at $14 billion. But with Mantle as a new benchmark, Base could aim higher—perhaps launching at twice Mantle's FDV right out of the gate.

Why? Coinbase's ecosystem is even stronger than Bybit's. Base already leads in L2 revenue ($5 million last month vs. Arbitrum's $1.6 million) and has killer features like direct DEX integrations in the Coinbase app, wrapped assets (e.g., cbBTC), and a push into payments. Plus, it's fostering a creator economy through apps like Farcaster and Zora, which are built natively on Base.

Bullish Implications for Base and Meme Tokens

For those of us tracking meme tokens here at Meme Insider, this is particularly exciting. Base has become a hotbed for meme coin activity, with its low fees and seamless onboarding drawing in creators and traders. If $BASE launches strong, it could supercharge the chain's liquidity and visibility, benefiting memes built on it. Think more viral launches, higher trading volumes, and potentially bigger airdrops for active users.

Ignas's advice? Get involved now. Install the Farcaster and Base apps, start posting consistently, and engage with the community. As Base's head Jesse Pollak puts it, "창작하면 보상이 따를 것입니다." It's a nod to how onchain activity could tie into future rewards, much like how Mantle's integrations have boosted its token.

But a word of caution: not all L2 tokens have fared well. Linea, backed by MetaMask and Consensys, trades at just over $2 billion FDV despite strong support. Base's challenge is to craft a narrative that breaks free from the "L2 curse"—that nagging underperformance—and lifts the whole sector.

Wrapping Up: A New Era for L2 Valuations?

Mantle's story shows that in crypto, narrative and economics can trump tech alone. If Base follows suit, we could see a renaissance for L2 tokens, with ripple effects across DeFi and meme ecosystems. Keep an eye on these developments— they could reshape how we value blockchain projects.

For the full thread, check it out here. And if you're diving into meme tokens on Base or elsewhere, stick with Meme Insider for the latest insights.

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