在加密货币的快节奏世界里,尤其是在迷因币领域,你可能已经注意到一句吸引人的故事往往能比任何技术升级更快把代币的价格送上天。但这是为什么?Helius Labs 的 CEO Mert 在 X 上发布的一则线程用物理和生物学的类比把这个现象拆解得很清楚,对于任何涉足迷因代币的人来说都值得一读。
Mert 认为这并不是因为人变得更蠢或更贪,而是因为人类天生以故事来思考。叙事简单且传播迅速,尤其在我们这个高度互联的世界里。下面我们来深入他的见解,看看这些观点如何适用于迷因币。
核心观点:把叙事看作病毒
Mert 开始时解释道:
the reason narrative dominates fundamentals is not that people are dumber or suddenly greedier
it's physics
humans think in stories
narratives are easier to understand, and fundamentals require time to analyse
if narratives are easier to understand, then they spread faster
if they spread faster, then they infect more people
if the internet connects more people than ever before, then the rate of infection increases exponentially
and if enough people are infected, it ends up shaping reality
and if crypto increases the connectivity between money and information, then narratives affect markets even more than before
so it has nothing to do with people being dumber or more greedy or wanting to escape some permanent underclass
it's just a natural consequence of the world being more connected now via the internet and crypto than ever before
I have 100% conviction that connectivity is the most important concept that no one is really talking about
这里的“叙事”指的是围绕一个加密项目的故事或炒作,比如基于某个流行网络笑话的迷因币或名人背书。“基本面”则是底层技术,比如智能合约的安全性或现实世界的实用性。
在迷因代币的场景里,想想 Dogecoin 因 Elon Musk 的推文而走红,或 Shiba Inu 被包装成“Dogecoin killer”的故事。这类叙事在社交媒体上像病毒一样传播,在没有人检查代码之前就吸引了大量人群。
基本面仍然重要——长期来看
Mert 接着做了一个关键澄清:
IMPORTANT: this does not imply that fundamentals don't matter!
I'm just describing the physics of the situation
as you click the "Play" button and let time go by, eventually, people start developing antibodies to the narrative, just like a bacterial infection, and shed themselves free from it
but a virus/narrative that is rooted in fundamentals will have higher retention and will endure over time
put differently: pure narrative will spread much faster in the shorter term, but a narrative rooted in fundamentals that can not be shed (like a biological virus instead of a bacterial one) will spread farther in the long term
this is why fundamentals matter long term and why people say things like "In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine
这段对迷因币爱好者非常重要。纯粹靠炒作的代币可能短期内暴涨,但故事褪去后往往暴跌。但如果一个迷因币建立在坚实的基本面之上——比如社区治理、与 DeFi 协议的整合或真正的用例——它就能持久存在。例如,一些基于 Solana 的迷因项目正在演化成拥有实际效用的生态系统,把叙事和实质结合起来。
社区反应与示例
该线程引发了大量回应,有人指出 SolBox(Solana 上的去中心化存储项目)有一个“很容易理解的好叙事”。另有人分享了 Claynosaurz 的一张有趣图片,强调“我们有故事”。
甚至 Mert 也用一张关于网络争论的 meme 回复了怀疑者,展示了叙事如何引发激烈讨论。
这些回复突显了项目如何利用叙事。在迷因代币世界里,一个好的故事能迅速吸引开发者、投资者和用户。
对迷因代币投资者的启示
那这对你意味着什么?在互联的加密景观中,要早期识别叙事,但为长期持有深入挖掘基本面。使用像 DexScreener 这样的工具检查流动性,用 Solana Explorer 查看链上活动。
记住,像 X 这样的社交平台通过连通性放大一切。一条推文就可能启动一场叙事级联,尤其是在社区为王的迷因币领域。
查看 原始 X 线程 以获取更多背景并加入讨论。在 Meme Insider,我们致力于解码这些动力,帮助你在迷因代币的疯狂世界中找到方向。保持互联!